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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ksma</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Кубанский научный медицинский вестник</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Kuban Scientific Medical Bulletin</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1608-6228</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2541-9544</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Kuban State Medical University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.25207/1608-6228-2022-29-2-28-44</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">ksma-2685</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ. КЛИНИЧЕСКАЯ МЕДИЦИНА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ORIGINAL ARTICLES. CLINICAL MEDICINE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Сравнение шкал REMS, NEWS, qSOFA и критериев SIRS в прогнозировании сепсиса у пациентов с диагнозом SARS-CoV-2, вирус не идентифицирован: ретроспективное наблюдательное исследование</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Comparison of REMS, NEWS, qSOFA and SIRS criteria scales for sepsis prediction in patients with diagnosis “SARS-CoV-2, virus unidentified”: a retrospective observational study</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3571-986X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Зыбин</surname><given-names>К. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zybin</surname><given-names>K. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Зыбин Константин Дмитриевич — кандидат медицинских наук; ассистент кафедры анестезиологии, реаниматологии </p><p>ул. им. Митрофана Седина, д. 4, г. Краснодар, 350063</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Konstantin D. Zybin — Cand. Sci. (Med.), Research Assistant, Chair of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation </p><p>Mitrofana Sedina str., 4, Krasnodar, 350063</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">zkd-333@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0662-9358</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Носков</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Noskov</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Носков Алексей Андреевич — клинический ординатор кафедры анестезиологии, реаниматологии </p><p>ул. им. Митрофана Седина, д. 4, г. Краснодар, 350063</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Aleksei A. Noskov — Resident Physician, Chair of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation </p><p>Mitrofana Sedina str., 4, Krasnodar, 350063</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">noalean@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8494-4153</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Астахова</surname><given-names>Е. О.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Astakhova</surname><given-names>E. O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Астахова Елена Олеговна — клинический ординатор кафедры анестезиологии, реаниматологии</p><p>ул. им. Митрофана Седина, д. 4, г. Краснодар, 350063</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Elena O. Astakhova — Resident Physician, Chair of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation </p><p>Mitrofana Sedina str., 4, Krasnodar, 350063</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">nikitkax@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9285-852X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мусаева</surname><given-names>Т. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Musaeva</surname><given-names>T. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Мусаева Татьяна Сергеевна — кандидат медицинских наук; доцент кафедры анестезиологии, реаниматологии</p><p>ул. им. Митрофана Седина, д. 4, г. Краснодар, 350063</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Tat’yana S. Musaeva — Cand. Sci. (Med.), Assoc. Prof., Chair of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation </p><p>Mitrofana Sedina str., 4, Krasnodar, 350063</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">musaeva_tanya@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0061-0496</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Трембач</surname><given-names>Н. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Trembach</surname><given-names>N. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Трембач Никита Владимирович — кандидат медицинских наук; ассистент кафедры анестезиологии, реаниматологии и трансфузиологии ФПК и ППС </p><p>тел.: +7 (962) 858-92-99 </p><p>ул. им. Митрофана Седина, д. 4, г. Краснодар, 350063</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Nikita V. Trembach — Cand. Sci. (Med.), Research Assistant, Chair of Anaesthesiology, Resuscitation and Transfusiology, School of Advanced Vocational Training and Retraining</p><p>tel.: +7 (962) 858-92-99 </p><p>Mitrofana Sedina str., 4, Krasnodar, 350063</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">nikitkax@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7213-679X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Муратова</surname><given-names>А. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Muratova</surname><given-names>A. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Муратова Анна Юрьевна — доктор медицинских наук; профессор кафедры клинической биохимии </p><p>ул. Мира, д. 310, г. Ставрополь, 355017</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Anna Yu. Muratova — Dr. Sci. (Med.), Prof., Chair of Clinical Biochemistry </p><p>Mira str., 310, Stavropol, 355017</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8463-0031</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Лобурь</surname><given-names>Е. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lobur’</surname><given-names>E. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Лобурь Елизавета Игоревна — клинический ординатор кафедры анестезиологии, реаниматологии</p><p>ул. им. Митрофана Седина, д. 4, г. Краснодар, 350063</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Elizaveta I. Lobur’ — Resident Physician, Chair of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation </p><p>Mitrofana Sedina str., 4, Krasnodar, 350063</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">nikitkax@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Федеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Кубанский государственный медицинский университет» Министерства здравоохранения Российской Федерации</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kuban State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Федеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Ставропольский государственный медицинский университет» Министерства здравоохранения Российской Федерации</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Stavropol State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>01</day><month>05</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>29</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>28</fpage><lpage>44</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Зыбин К.Д., Носков А.А., Астахова Е.О., Мусаева Т.С., Трембач Н.В., Муратова А.Ю., Лобурь Е.И., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Зыбин К.Д., Носков А.А., Астахова Е.О., Мусаева Т.С., Трембач Н.В., Муратова А.Ю., Лобурь Е.И.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Zybin K.D., Noskov A.A., Astakhova E.O., Musaeva T.S., Trembach N.V., Muratova A.Y., Lobur’ E.I.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ksma.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2685">https://ksma.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2685</self-uri><abstract><p>Введение. Несмотря на большое количество исследований, посвященных изучению особенностей течения и лечения коронавирусной инфекции, частота неблагоприятного исхода остается крайне высокой. Среди причин летального исхода не последнее место занимает сепсис, значительно осложняющий лечение и увеличивающий риск смерти. Своевременное выявление пациентов с высоким риском сепсиса является краеугольным камнем эффективной его профилактики.Цель исследования — сравнение прогностической ценности шкалы экспресс-оценки органной дисфункции (qSOFA), национальной системы ранней оценки (NEWS), экспресс-оценки неотложной медицинской помощи (REMS) и критериев системной воспалительной реакции (SIRS) в обнаружении сепсиса у пациентов в отделении анестезиологии-реанимации с диагнозом SARS-CoV-2, вирус не идентифицирован.Методы. Проведено ретроспективное наблюдательное исследование, в него было включено 166 пациентов старше 18 лет с не подтвержденной инфекцией (код по дополненной МКБ-10 U07.2). У каждого пациента производили расчет по шкалам qSOFA, NEWS, REMS и количество критериев SIRS. Ретроспективно пациентов разделили на две группы по наличию сепсиса (критерии Сепсис-3) для определения прогностической значимости экспресс-шкал в риске его развития (оценивали площадь под ROC-кривой (AUROC)).Результаты. В итоговый анализ включены данные 102 пациентов. Летальный исход наступил у 58 (57%) пациентов, у 55 (54%) развился сепсис. AUROC составил для шкалы NEWS 0,848 [95% доверительный интервал (ДИ) 0,764–0,912], чувствительность — 76,4% [95% ДИ 63,0–86,8], специфичность — 83,0% [95% ДИ 69,2–92,4], оптимальный «порог отсечения» &gt; 5 баллов; для шкалы qSOFA 0,700 [95% ДИ 0,602–0,787], чувствительность — 76,4% [95% ДИ 63,0–86,8], специфичность — 61,7% [95% ДИ 46,4–75,5], оптимальный «порог отсечения» &gt; 0 баллов; для шкалы REMS 0,739 [95% ДИ 0,643 — 0,821], чувствительность — 69,1% [95% ДИ 55,2–80,9], специфичность — 66,0% [95% ДИ 50,7–79,1], оптимальный «порог отсечения» &gt; 5 баллов; для критериев SIRS 0,723 [95% ДИ 0,626–0,807], чувствительность — 98,2% [95% ДИ 90,3–100,0], специфичность — 31,9% [95% ДИ 19,1–47,1]), оптимальный «порог отсечения» &gt; 0 баллов. Заключение. Шкала NEWS показала хорошую прогностическую способность в оценке риска возникновения сепсиса у пациентов с подозрением на новую коронавирусную инфекцию COVID-19. У шкалы qSOFA, шкалы REMS и критериев SIRS отмечена хорошая калибровка, но недостаточная разрешающая способность, и их прогностические возможности ограничены.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Background. Despite ample research on the coronavirus infection sequence and therapy, the incidence of adverse outcomes remains very high. Sepsis stands among the major factors greatly complicating treatment and increasing the risk of death. A timely identification of highrisk sepsis patients is a cornerstone of effective sepsis prevention.Objectives. A comparative prognostic power assessment between the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scale, National Early Warning Score (NEWS), Initial Prehospital Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS) and the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) criteria for sepsis detection in anaesthetic intensive care patients with a diagnosis: SARS-CoV-2, virus unidentified.Methods. A retrospective observational study included 166 patients over 18-year age with unconfirmed infection (ICD-10 code U07.2). The qSOFA, NEWS, REMS and SIRS point estimates were obtained from each patient. The patients were retrospectively divided in two cohorts by sepsis presence (Sepsis-3 criteria) to determine the express scales power in evaluating the risk of sepsis (estimated as area under ROC curve, AUROC).Results. Data on 102 patients were included in the final analysis. Fifty-eight (57%) patients were terminal, and 55 (54%) developed sepsis. The estimates are as follows: NEWS — AUROC 0.848 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.764–0.912], sensitivity 76.36% [95% CI 63.0–86.8], specificity 82.98% [95% CI 69.2–92.4], optimal cut-off threshold &gt;5 points; qSOFA — AUROC 0.700 [95% CI 0.602–0.787], sensitivity 76.36% [95% CI 63.0–86.8], specificity 61.70% [95% CI 46.4–75.5], optimal cut-off threshold &gt;0 points; REMS — AUROC 0.739 [95% CI 0.643–0.821], sensitivity 69.09% [95% CI 55.2–80.9], specificity 65.96% [95% CI 50.7–79.1], optimal cut-off threshold &gt;5 points; SIRS criteria — AUROC 0.723 [95% CI 0.626–0.807], sensitivity 98.18% [95% CI 90.3–100.0], specificity 31.91% [95% CI 19.1–47.1], optimal cut-off threshold &gt;0 points.Conclusion. The NEWS scale revealed a good prognostic power to estimate the risk of sepsis in patients with suspected COVID-19 disease. The qSOFA, REMS scales and SIRS criteria possess a good calibration capacity, albeit insufficient resolution, which limits their prognostic value.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>новая коронавирусная инфекция</kwd><kwd>сепсис</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>new coronavirus infection</kwd><kwd>sepsis</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Huang C., Wang Y., Li X., Ren L., Zhao J., Hu Y., Zhang L., Fan G., Xu J., Gu X., Cheng Z., Yu T., Xia J., Wei Y., Wu W., Xie X., Yin W., Li H., Liu M., Xiao Y., Gao H., Guo L., Xie J., Wang G., Jiang R., Gao Z., Jin Q., Wang J., Cao B. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Lancet. 2020; 395(10223): 497–506. 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